Stock Markets and the Economy
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The 2018 Market and Economic Review
Almost everyone’s 2018 predictions were wrong. But that’s almost always the case. We had another year of unexpected and startling changes in the economy and markets. Trends couldn’t have been much better than they were at the end of 2017. The economy was surging across the board, and U.S. stock indexes were moving steadily higher. […]
Where Will the Fed Drive the Economy Next?
The markets now seem to realize what the Fed has been up to, but the markets probably still are behind the curve. Investors as a group made two of their recurring mistakes during most of 2018. They projected that the recent past would continue indefinitely, and they focused on short-term news, or noise, instead of […]
How to Navigate the Post-Peak Phase of the Cycle: Investment and Economic Review December 2018
Is the economy getting ready to roll over into a recession? Are we in the early stage of a bear market in stocks, or is the market getting ready to turn around? Is inflation about to surge? You’ll learn the answers to these questions and more in the latest online seminar in my Retirement Watch […]
How Moving Averages Are Used In Retirement Investing
Moving averages tell us a lot about the stock market, and they’re saying something interesting now. Investors often use moving averages to assess market momentum. A simple moving average is an average of the investment’s closing price over the specified period. To determine the 200-day moving average of the S&P 500, you add the closing […]
Your Retirement Finance Week in Review
The Federal Reserve might have signaled a pause in its tightening policy, but it’s too soon for investors to relax. The Fed began talking about tighter monetary policy in 2013. Then-chairman Ben Bernanke’s remarks led to what is known as the taper tantrum. Markets, especially bond markets, panicked at the notion that the Fed might […]
Portfolio Changes to Increase Our Margin of Safety Amid Market Volatility
This is a good time to be cautious and defensive in your investment portfolio. In this transition from the late stage of economic growth to a period of declining growth, we want to continue our long-standing policy of having a margin of safety and balance in our portfolios, and that requires a few changes in […]
3 Possible Scenarios As The Fed Tightens Monetary Policy
Tighter monetary policy is affecting the economy and markets, and the stimulus from last year’s tax cuts is fading. Yet the Fed is determined to continue tightening money. Economic growth has slowed from its robust rate of the second quarter, and there are clear decelerations in housing and vehicle sales. Growth in manufacturing also is […]
Economic Data Shows Continued Strength
The big issue for investors in the coming months is how the Federal Reserve will react to continuing strength in the labor market. Right now, the labor market is strong almost any way you measure it. Indeed, the unemployment rate is extremely low and has been for some time. The number of job openings exceeds […]
529 College Saving Plans
Active versus Passive Investing
Art and Collectibles Investing
Asset Allocation
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Financial Crisis
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Interest Rates and the Yield Curve
Investing for Children and Grandchildren
Investing Strategies
MLP's
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Portfolios
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Shiller
Smart Beta
Stock Market Bubbles
Stock Market Crash
Stock Market Votality
Stock Valuations
Stocks
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Warren Buffett
