Stock Markets and the Economy
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The Economy, Markets Start to Turn
The U.S. economy is stronger than many people realize, and growth is likely to accelerate. That affects stocks, bonds, gold and more. Parts of the economy were hurt badly by the pandemic and continue to struggle. Other sectors of the economy, however, held their own or even surged during 2020. The focus on hurting households […]
How Market and Economic Trends are Changing in 2021
Some key investment and economic trends of the last few years started to change in the last few months. I believe those changes will continue, and probably accelerate, in 2021. One change, which I’ve been highlighting, is that returns from U.S. stocks are unlikely to continue to significantly outpace returns from many global stocks. U.S. […]
The Continuing Case for Cautious Optimism
Investors began 2021 filled with optimism about the markets, and there are good reasons for the positive attitudes. Market prices indicate investors expect interest rates and inflation to stay low. They also expect corporate profits to improve due to a strong economic rebound once COVID-19 vaccines are widely administered. The vaccines aren’t the only reasons […]
The Economy Slows, But Powers Through the Headwinds
Economic growth slowed in recent months, and much of the economy still is at depressed levels. Yet, the economy is doing better than expected. The big question for me has been how well the economy would hold up once the fiscal stimulus began winding down after July. While the rate of growth slowed substantially, the […]
How to Navigate the Post-Election Economy and Markets
The election’s over, and not much changed. Not much will change for at least several months. After major elections, regardless of the results, I urge my readers not to overhaul their portfolios in response to the election. Too often, I hear people advising investors to make significant changes because of what they say are the […]
The Simple Secret to Buying Low and Selling High
There’s a simple and easy way to increase long-term returns while reducing risk. After all, isn’t the Holy Grail of most investors to achieve increased returns with less risk? This strategy is also the way to buy low and sell high. I made it the subject of my latest Retirement Watch Spotlight Series because it […]
The Hibernation Economy Starts to Wake
Volatility has been a hallmark of the markets in 2020, and that isn’t going to change for a while.After years of extremely low levels, this year volatility in stocks, bonds, gold and other investments soared to levels com-parable only to the financial crisis and a few other extreme periods. Traders and investors who depend on […]
How to Weather the COVID-19 Storm and Its Aftermath
The coronavirus pandemic dramatically changed the economy and markets in only a few months. It also altered the retirement plans of many people. This month’s Retirement Watch Spotlight Series is a detailed look at the many changes brought on by the pandemic. I discuss how you should respond to them and how you shouldn’t respond. […]
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Interest Rates and the Yield Curve
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Shiller
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Stock Market Bubbles
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Stock Market Votality
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Warren Buffett
